Current community forecast
No 97.6%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Dec 15, 23, 9:44 PM UTCSep 14, 26, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
PolymarketWill the Sweden Democrats beat their 2022 vote share (20.54%) in the September 2026 Riksdag election?
Manifold MarketsWill Sweden adopt the Euro before 2032?
Manifold MarketsFree & Fair Presidential Election in Venezuela by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
Will a party with clearly nationalist and anti-immigration programme gain the most votes of all parties in the next (2026) elections? Question will be resolved after official results are published on the election's wikipedia page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Swedish_general_election
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $837.2K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213M
- 24h Vol
- $477.5K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will nacionalists win Sweden elections in 2026?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will nacionalists win Sweden elections in 2026 resolve?
- Will nacionalists win Sweden elections in 2026 is scheduled to resolve on September 14, 2026.
- How is Will nacionalists win Sweden elections in 2026 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Will a party with clearly nationalist and anti-immigration programme gain the most votes of all parties in the next (2026) elections? Question will be resolved after official results are published on the election's wikipedia page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Swedish_general_election