Current implied probability
Over 66%-4.5pt
Market quality
33 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$233.1
Low liquidityBid / Ask
45.0% / 87.0%
Spread
42.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
0
7d Change
+20.5 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Aug 13, 26, 9:38 AM UTCSep 13, 26, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
PolymarketWhen will the next UK parliamentary by-election be called?
KalshiSerbian parliamentary election winner?
KalshiSwedish Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
KalshiRules
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Over” if Green Party (MP) wins at least 7% of all valid votes in the specified election
- This market will resolve to “Under” if Green Party (MP) wins less than 7% of all valid votes in the specified election
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $810.8K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.1M
- 24h Vol
- $547.7K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Over/Under 7%??
- Polymarket prices Over at 66% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Over/Under 7%? resolve?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Over/Under 7%? is scheduled to resolve on September 13, 2026.
- How is Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Over/Under 7%? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.