KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
SNS-led list 82.2%+7.0ptVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
48 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$753.6
Liquidity
$1.3K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
79.0% / 85.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jun 29, 26, 4:30 PM UTCJun 30, 27, 2:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the named outcome wins the next Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Republic Electoral Commission
- the named outcome: Any formally registered electoral list containing the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS).
- the named outcome: Any formally registered electoral list designated as its national parliamentary electoral list by the university students organizing Serbia’s nationwide university blockades, provided that the list does not contain SNS.
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $837.2K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213M
- 24h Vol
- $477.5K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
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- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Serbian parliamentary election winner??
- Kalshi prices SNS-led list at 82% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Serbian parliamentary election winner? resolve?
- Serbian parliamentary election winner? is scheduled to resolve on June 30, 2027.
- How is Serbian parliamentary election winner? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome wins the next Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes.