KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Christian Democrats 63.2%+13.0ptLeader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
50 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2
Liquidity
$19K
Medium liquiditySpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 2:00 AM UTCSep 18, 26, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the Sweden Democrats beat their 2022 vote share (20.54%) in the September 2026 Riksdag election?
Manifold MarketsSweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 6th Place
PolymarketLiberals still in Riksdag after next election?
Manifold MarketsChristian Democrats still in Riksdag after next election?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the named outcome is the sole party with the seventh-highest nationwide valid-vote share in the Swedish Election Authority's final certified result for the 2026 Riksdag election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Swedish Election Authority
- Rank parties by certified nationwide valid-vote count in the Swedish Election Authority's final Riksdag result, equivalent to unrounded valid-vote share.
- Seats, mandates, regional or municipal results, polls, projections and preliminary counts do NOT count.
- A party qualifies only if exactly six parties have more valid votes and none has the same count.
- An exact tie or unlisted sole seventh-place party makes every named market resolve NO.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share)?
- Kalshi prices Christian Democrats at 63% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share) resolve?
- Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share) is scheduled to resolve on September 18, 2026.
- How is Sweden Riksdag election: 7th place (vote share) settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome is the sole party with the seventh-highest nationwide valid-vote share in the Swedish Election Authority's final certified result for the 2026 Riksdag election, then the market resolves to Yes.