PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Keiko Fujimori (100%)
Unverified resolution data
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Current implied probability
Keiko Fujimori 100%Leader of 49 outcomes
Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$900.4
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spread7d Change
+0.9 pts
Market data
Updated 20 days ago
StaleDec 16, 25, 8:14 PMApr 12, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Keiko Fujimori100%
Rafael López Aliaga1%
Mario Vizcarra0%
Carlos Álvarez0%
César Acuña0%
Alfonso López Chau0%
Vladimir Cerrón0%
José Luna0%
George Forsyth0%
Roberto Chiabra0%
Enrique Valderrama0%
José Williams0%
Fiorella Molinelli0%
Ricardo Belmont0%
Fernando Olivera0%
Carlos Espá0%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa0%
Yonhy Lescano0%
Mesías Guevara0%
Marisol Pérez Tello0%
Jorge Nieto0%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino0%
Other0%
Wolfgang Grozo0%
Candidate B0%
Candidate C0%
Candidate D0%
Candidate E0%
Candidate F0%
Candidate G0%
Candidate H0%
Candidate I0%
Candidate J0%
Candidate K0%
Candidate L0%
Candidate M0%
Candidate N0%
Candidate O0%
Candidate P0%
Candidate Q0%
Candidate R0%
Candidate S0%
Candidate T0%
Candidate U0%
Candidate V0%
Candidate W0%
Candidate X0%
Candidate Y0%
Candidate Z0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.
Compare venues· Keiko Fujimori
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall80% match · verified | Low | 100% | — | $32.5K | $3.2M | 24 days ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Low | 100% | — | $900.4 | $0 | 20 days ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Peru Presidential election winner?
0.1 ptsClosed
Resolved
Keiko Fujimori (100%)
+0.1pt94.3%
0.9%
0.9%
+18 more outcomes
49 • Low qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$9.9M
24h Vol$32.5K
KALSHIRules
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
- This market includes any potential second round.
- If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Large trades
$106.7k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? — NoMelody62623d ago
POLYMARKETWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? — NoMelody62623d ago$146.5k99.9%POLYMARKETWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? — YesMelody62623d ago
POLYMARKETWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? — YesMelody62623d ago$9.5k99.9%POLYMARKETYesFlipadelphia26d ago
POLYMARKETYesFlipadelphia26d ago$3.6k99.9%POLYMARKETYesScalpoor27d ago
POLYMARKETYesScalpoor27d ago$5.0k99.9%POLYMARKETYessdhyky27d ago
POLYMARKETYessdhyky27d ago$3.9k99.6%POLYMARKETYesmr.ozi28d ago
POLYMARKETYesmr.ozi28d agoVolume trend
$900Jul 26d of dataJul 7
Related Markets
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$174.8KNicolás Maduro: 83%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Brazil Presidential Election
$171.9KLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 64%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner
$10.9KCleitinho Azevedo: 42%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Brazil Presidential election winner?
$7.7KRomeu Zema: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
🇧🇷 President in Jan 2027 is Lula, or whoever he endorses / Lula ou seu indicado é presidente em janeiro de 2027
$2.1KYes: 63%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?
$536.8Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva: 78%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
Related News
Kalshi, Polymarket win pause against Minnesota's prediction market banCoindesk
CFTC seeks urgent ruling on Minnesota prediction market banCrypto News
Ripple’s other ledger: What $48 million in politics buysCrypto News
Polymarket Account in Farage Backer's Name Took $9M in Crypto From Unknown Sources: FTDecrypt
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.NewsRules
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
- This market includes any potential second round.
- If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)