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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Peru Presidential Election Winner
Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

5.3% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElectionLatin America
PolymarketPolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee

This market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.

Current implied probability
Keiko Fujimori
Keiko Fujimori 97%+4.8%
Leader of 49 outcomes
Market quality

89 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$5.4M

Liquidity

$12M

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

2.5% / 2.7%

Spread

8.0%

Moderate spread
7d Change

-23.9%

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Dec 16, 25, 8:20 PMApr 12, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Keiko Fujimori
Keiko Fujimori
+4.8%
97%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
-5.3%
3%
Rafael López Aliaga
Rafael López Aliaga
0%
Carlos Álvarez
Carlos Álvarez
0%
César Acuña
César Acuña
0%
Vladimir Cerrón
Vladimir Cerrón
0%

This market has closed. Mock trading is available on open markets only.

KalshiAlso available on Kalshi

Peru Presidential election winner?

Peru Presidential election winner?

4.1%10mo
Roberto Sánchez
Roberto Sánchez
-4.1%3%
Keiko Fujimori
Keiko Fujimori
+2.8%97%
Rafael López Aliaga
Rafael López Aliaga
1%

+18 more outcomes

73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$84.4K
24h Vol$11.2K
KalshiKALSHI

Rules

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
  • This market includes any potential second round.
  • If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
  • If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
  • This market includes any potential second round.
  • If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
  • This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
  • If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)