PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
3 · —
Loading selected book…
—
Stored reference
3 26.4%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
3 26.4%Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.8K
Liquidity
$49.7K
High liquidityOpen interest
$731.5
Bid / Ask
— / —
3Spread
—
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Oct 29, 26, 11:11 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · 3
Loading selected book…
—
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will North Korea resume its nuclear tests in 2026?
FutuurWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
PolymarketKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketNorth Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect)
PolymarketWill Trump visit North Korea by which date?
PolymarketWill Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during November 2026, Pyongyang Time.
- If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
- Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
- Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
- Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.