PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 12%-0.7pt
Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$11.9
Liquidity
$4.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
11.7% / 11.8%
Spread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
3
7d Change
-0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Apr 30, 26, 7:18 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
PolymarketKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill North Korea resume its nuclear tests in 2026?
FutuurUnited States to attack North Korea in 2026?
FutuurWill North Korea win the next Women’s World Cup?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea.
- Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
- The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Open markets
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $829.4K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.5%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-2.0pt13.1%
+17 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $63.6M
- 24h Vol
- $343.1K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt14%
+48 more outcomes
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 more outcomes
- What will Trump say during his remarks at Steel Across America?
- $LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump visit North Korea by which date??
- Polymarket prices December 31 at 12% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Trump visit North Korea by which date? resolve?
- Will Trump visit North Korea by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Trump visit North Korea by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".