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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. US Politics
  3. Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

One-OffUS PoliticsMiddle East1mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Before Aug 1, 2026
Before Aug 1, 2026 3%
Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$240.2

Liquidity

$6.4K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

2.0% / 3.0%

Spread

50.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

May 29, 26, 6:00 PMAug 1, 26, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Before May 1, 2026
Before May 1, 2026
0%
Before Jun 1, 2026
Before Jun 1, 2026
0%

Selected outcome

Before Aug 1, 20263%

Rules

If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Iran before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits.
  • For cities, official municipal boundaries apply.
  • For states/provinces, official boundaries apply.
  • For countries, internationally recognized borders apply.
  • International airports are considered within their host jurisdiction.

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Rules

If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Iran before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits.
  • For cities, official municipal boundaries apply.
  • For states/provinces, official boundaries apply.
  • For countries, internationally recognized borders apply.
  • International airports are considered within their host jurisdiction.