KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Before Jan 1, 2027 4%+0.1pt
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1K
Liquidity
$305.2K
High liquidityBid / Ask
1.9% / 3.8%
Spread
1.9 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Mar 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will US president Donald Trump visit Iran in 2026
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
PolymarketWhich states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
PolymarketWhat countries will Donald Trump visit in the remainder of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
LimitlessRules
If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Iran the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Guardianlocal news outlets with verifiable mastheads inDonald Trumpofficial government sources of Iranofficial representatives or offices of Donald TrumpThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalCNNFox NewsMSNBCCNBC
- Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required.
- Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit.
- International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction.
- A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Donald Trump visit Iran??
- Kalshi prices Before Jan 1, 2027 at 4% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Will Donald Trump visit Iran? resolve?
- Will Donald Trump visit Iran? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Donald Trump visit Iran? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Iran the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.