PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
John Thune 45%Leader of 11 outcomes
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$237.4K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
2
7d Change
+2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Mar 23, 26, 11:11 PM UTCJan 3, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader?
Kalshi120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?
KalshiTipping point state vote margin for Dem Senate majority in 2026?
Manifold MarketsDemocrats have senate majority before 1 November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republican Party win a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExWill the Democratic Party win a US Senate Majority in the 2026 general election?
ForecastExRules
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
- This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
- If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — Next Senate Majority Leader? · Dick Durbin 50%
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $837.2K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213M
- 24h Vol
- $477.5K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Next Senate Majority Leader??
- Polymarket prices John Thune at 45% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Next Senate Majority Leader? resolve?
- Next Senate Majority Leader? is scheduled to resolve on January 3, 2027.
- How is Next Senate Majority Leader? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
- Where else is Next Senate Majority Leader? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Limitless.