Senate Majority Leader after 2026 Election? (Polymarket Mirror)
27.4 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastJohn Thune 44%+27.4ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+27.4 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 9, 26, 1:33 AM UTCJan 3, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves the same as Polymarket:Next Senate Majority Leader?
- This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.
- This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
- If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
- [link preview]
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Senate Majority Leader after 2026 Election? (Polymarket Mirror)?
- Manifold Markets prices John Thune at 44% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Senate Majority Leader after 2026 Election? (Polymarket Mirror) resolve?
- Senate Majority Leader after 2026 Election? (Polymarket Mirror) is scheduled to resolve on January 3, 2027.
- How is Senate Majority Leader after 2026 Election? (Polymarket Mirror) settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves the same as Polymarket:Next Senate Majority Leader?