KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 28, 2026, 10:09 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Before Nov 3, 2026 · —
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Stored price
Before Nov 3, 2026 7.5%
Before Nov 3, 2026 7.5%Market quality
20 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$30.9
Open interest
$818.4
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Before Nov 3, 2026Spread
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Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJun 25, 26, 8:00 PM UTCNov 3, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Before Oct 1, 2026Lost
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Nov 3, 2026
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Donald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiJeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
KalshiShawn Fain announces departure as UAW President?
KalshiEd Davey announces departure as Liberal Democrats leader in 2026?
KalshiWill John Thune stop being Senate Republican Leader before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext Senate Majority Leader?
PolymarketRules
If the Senate Majority Leader has resigned or otherwise left their specified position before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe New York TimesAxiosCNNReutersThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPoliticoBloomberg NewsNBC
- An announcement that the official will leave the office within the next year also resolves the market to Yes.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Nov 3, 2026
- If the Senate Majority Leader has resigned or otherwise left their specified position before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If the Senate Majority Leader has resigned or otherwise left their specified position before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.