KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 9:52 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
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Stored price
Before Jul 1, 2027 10.5%
Before Jul 1, 2027 10.5%Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$1.6K
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Before Jul 1, 2027Spread
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Market data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Jul 13, 26, 4:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Before Jul 1, 2027
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Shawn Fain be forced out of the UAW Presidency due to scandal/crime/etc.?
Manifold MarketsJeanine Pirro announces departure as D.C. U.S. Attorney?
KalshiEd Davey announces departure as Liberal Democrats leader in 2026?
KalshiScott Bessent announces departure as Secretary of the Treasury?
KalshiMarco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?
KalshiWill Shawn Fain be the president of the UAW for the rest of his life?
Manifold MarketsRules
If Shawn Fain leaves as President of the United Auto Workers before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Shawn Fain
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Rules for each outcome
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Shawn Fain leaves as President of the United Auto Workers before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Shawn Fain leaves as President of the United Auto Workers before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
