PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability
Helen Zille 66%+1.0%Leader of 42 outcomes
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$345.7
Liquidity
$107.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
65.0% / 67.0%
Spread
3.1%
Moderate spread7d Change
+4.5%
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Jun 10, 26, 12:05 AMNov 5, 26, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Helen Zille66%
Also available on Manifold Markets
Who will be Johannesburg's next Mayor?
6mo
56.4%
16.9%
14.3%
+3 more outcomes
Community forecast2 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$2.2K
24h Vol$1.9K
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
- A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Johannesburg following the 2026 South African municipal elections.
- A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Johannesburg City Council.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.