What are the current odds for Who will be Johannesburg's next Mayor??

Manifold Markets prices Helen Zille at 64% as of October 11, 2026.

When does Who will be Johannesburg's next Mayor? resolve?

Who will be Johannesburg's next Mayor? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria

The same question is also listed on Polymarket, Kalshi.

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Helen Zille 64%

Leader of 6 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

+3.0 pts

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Stale

Jun 15, 26, 6:36 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially elected as the Executive Mayor of the City of Johannesburg by the newly seated municipal council following the 2026 South African local government elections.
Electoral Process: Under South African municipal law, voters do not directly elect metropolitan mayors.
Instead, they vote to elect ward and proportional representation (PR) councillors.
Once the 270-member City of Johannesburg Metropolitan Council is seated, the councillors elect the Executive Mayor by majority vote during their inaugural sitting.
This market resolves based on the outcome of that council vote.