Current community forecast
Helen Zille 56.4%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 days ago
StaleJun 15, 26, 6:36 AMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Helen Zille56%
Also available on Polymarket
Next Mayor of Johannesburg?
1.0%4mo
+1.0%66%
50%
50%
+39 more outcomes
80 • High qualityModerate spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$35.4K
24h Vol$345.7
POLYMARKETRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially elected as the Executive Mayor of the City of Johannesburg by the newly seated municipal council following the 2026 South African local government elections.
- Electoral Process: Under South African municipal law, voters do not directly elect metropolitan mayors.
- Instead, they vote to elect ward and proportional representation (PR) councillors.
- Once the 270-member City of Johannesburg Metropolitan Council is seated, the councillors elect the Executive Mayor by majority vote during their inaugural sitting.
- This market resolves based on the outcome of that council vote.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the candidate who is officially elected as the Executive Mayor of the City of Johannesburg by the newly seated municipal council following the 2026 South African local government elections.
- Electoral Process: Under South African municipal law, voters do not directly elect metropolitan mayors.
- Instead, they vote to elect ward and proportional representation (PR) councillors.
- Once the 270-member City of Johannesburg Metropolitan Council is seated, the councillors elect the Executive Mayor by majority vote during their inaugural sitting.
- This market resolves based on the outcome of that council vote.