Current community forecast
No 64.2%
Forecasters
48
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJul 8, 26, 7:01 PM UTCMar 19, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Gianni Infantino be President of FIFA for his full elected term?
Manifold MarketsGianni Infantino out as President of FIFA in 2026
KalshiBrazil Election 2026: Which Brazilian soccer stars will be elected?
Manifold MarketsWill Opportunity party get 9.000% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ general election?
Manifold Markets2027 Chicago Mayoral Election
PolymarketAlabama Senate Election: Turnout
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom16%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3B
- 24h Vol
- $1.9M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom14.4%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $222.3M
- 24h Vol
- $742.7K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+2.0pt91%
- Republican Party-1.8pt9%
- Total Vol
- $33.9M
- 24h Vol
- $573K
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro+21.1pt58.8%
- Delcy Rodríguez-25.0pt40.2%
- No Head of State+0.3pt1%
+13 more outcomes
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Third Term99%
+34 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $975.6K
- 24h Vol
- $472.8K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep-1.6pt9.1%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.9M
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Infantino win the election for President of FIFA??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 64% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Will Infantino win the election for President of FIFA? resolve?
- Will Infantino win the election for President of FIFA? is scheduled to resolve on March 19, 2027.