Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
1.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffChessElectionMiddle EastSports4mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No Next Minister by Feb 28 · —
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Stored reference
No Next Minister by Feb 28 33.3%Leader of 18 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
No Next Minister by Feb 28 33.3%Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$334.6K
High liquidityOpen interest
$5.6K
Bid / Ask
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No Next Minister by Feb 28Spread
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Comments
1
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 9:19 AM UTCMar 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · No Next Minister by Feb 28
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of National Security in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.
- To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government.
- Any interim or caretaker Minister of National Security will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.
- The individual must be appointed as “Minister of National Security” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting.
- Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.