PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No Next Minister by Feb 28 · —
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Stored reference
No Next Minister by Feb 28 34.2%Leader of 18 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
No Next Minister by Feb 28 34.2%Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3K
Liquidity
$185.8K
High liquidityOpen interest
$7.7K
Bid / Ask
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No Next Minister by Feb 28Spread
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Comments
1
7d Change
+3.5 pts
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 9:17 AM UTCMar 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · No Next Minister by Feb 28
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWho will be Israeli defense minister after the election?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Defense in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections.
- To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government.
- Any interim or caretaker Minister of Defense will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution.
- The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Defense” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting.
- Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor.