Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
28-31 55.1%+6.5ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.9K
Liquidity
$71.4K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
+10.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingAug 7, 26, 1:02 AMSep 20, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
0%
Rules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
- This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election.
- This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
- If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
- If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
