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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place
Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

1.3% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElection6d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Robert Kenyon
Robert Kenyon 83%+0.5%
Leader of 33 outcomes
Market quality

89 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$10.4K

Liquidity

$105.9K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

4.1% / 4.3%

Spread

4.9%

Moderate spread
7d Change

-2.8%

Market data

Updated 6 minutes ago

May 21, 26, 5:55 PMJun 18, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Simon Finkelstein
Simon Finkelstein
0%
John Skipworth
John Skipworth
0%
Maria Deery
Maria Deery
0%

Selected outcome

Robert Kenyon83%

Rules

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
  • The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election.
  • If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names.
  • This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
  • If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Active in these topics

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Rules

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
  • The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election.
  • If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names.
  • This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
  • If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".