This market resolved: Robert Kenyon
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, 4:59 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Robert Kenyon 100%+11.4ptLeader of 33 outcomes
Market quality
29 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$30.7K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknown7d Change
-4.2 pts
Market data
Updated 74 days ago
StaleMay 21, 26, 5:55 PMJun 18, 26, 12:00 AM
Probability Timeline
Robert Kenyon84%
Rebecca Shepherd0%
Andy Burnham0%
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Rules
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held on June 18, 2026, following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second most valid votes in the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.
- The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election.
- If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
