PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
<4 49.5%+5.5ptLeader of 4 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$734.1
Liquidity
$12K
Medium liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
2
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 10:13 PM UTCOct 27, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Israel Election: New Economic Party & Amcha Yisrael Run on Same List?
PolymarketIsrael Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketIsrael election: Who will be the next prime minister?
Manifold MarketsWill Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the results of Israel's next election?
Manifold MarketsRules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
- If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
- If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $703.9M
- 24h Vol
- $837.2K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 more outcomes
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213M
- 24h Vol
- $477.5K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats??
- Polymarket prices <4 at 50% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats? resolve?
- Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats? is scheduled to resolve on October 27, 2026.
- How is Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.