PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 27, 2026, 10:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
2 · —
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Stored reference
2 49%Leader of 5 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
2 49%Market quality
38 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$384.4
Liquidity
$110.4K
High liquidityOpen interest
$3.3K
Bid / Ask
— / —
2Spread
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Comments
1
7d Change
+10.5 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleOct 3, 26, 3:46 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · 2
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. Navy aircraft carriers physically located within the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility at 12:00 PM ET on November 30, 2026.
- For the purposes of this market, “aircraft carriers” refers only to U.S. Navy aircraft carriers designated CVN (e.g., Nimitz-class and Gerald R. Ford-class carriers).
- Amphibious assault ships (LHA/LHD), other vessels, and ships of any other country will not count.
- A carrier will count if it is within the CENTCOM area of responsibility at the specified time, including while making a port call or other stop within the area.
- A carrier outside the CENTCOM area of responsibility at the specified time (e.g., in transit, or making a port call in the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command or U.S. European Command areas of responsibility) will not count, regardless of whether it is assigned to CENTCOM operations.
- A carrier that enters the area on November 30, 2026 will count only if it entered at or before 12:00 PM ET; a carrier that departs the area on November 30, 2026 will count only if it departed after 12:00 PM ET.