PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityDecember 31 35%-5.0%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10.1
Liquidity
$4.3K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
0.7% / 5.9%
Spread
742.9%
Wide spread7d Change
-3.2%
Market data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Feb 12, 26, 8:05 PMJun 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
December 3135%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greta Thunberg is arrested or detained by law enforcement between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.