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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. EU debt downgrade before 2027?
EU debt downgrade before 2027?

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

1.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsEurope6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 17%+0.0%
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$3.1K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

12.0% / 21.0%

Spread

75.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-0.5%

Market data

Updated 2 minutes ago

Jan 7, 26, 11:04 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes17%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.