PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Sergio Meneguelli 34.3%+14.5ptLeader of 11 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$9K
Liquidity
$89K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-3.5 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleAug 17, 26, 9:59 AMOct 4, 26, 6:00 AM
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
- Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won.
- If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
Open markets
Politics
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.9pt100%
- Seth Moulton-0.7pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4M
- 24h Vol
- $2.3M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt17.2%
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.2%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 more outcomes
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 more outcomes
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
+17 more outcomes
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
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- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place?
- Polymarket prices Sergio Meneguelli at 34% as of September 1, 2026.
- When does Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place resolve?
- Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place is scheduled to resolve on October 4, 2026.
- How is Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Espírito Santo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.