PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 6%-0.0%
Market quality
24 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$917.3
Low liquidityBid / Ask
3.0% / 9.0%
Spread
200.0%
Wide spread7d Change
-3.5%
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Apr 23, 26, 9:45 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes6%
Volume trend
$97Jul 86d of dataJul 23
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a.
- David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
- If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
- Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".