PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 92.1%+0.5pt
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$730.4
Low liquidityBid / Ask
5.0% / 10.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
7
7d Change
+1.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Apr 23, 26, 9:45 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a.
- David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
- If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
- Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for D4vd released from custody in 2026??
- Polymarket prices No at 92% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does D4vd released from custody in 2026? resolve?
- D4vd released from custody in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is D4vd released from custody in 2026? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a.