Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 93.3%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleAug 2, 23, 3:57 AM UTCJan 1, 35, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will Donald Trump die?
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PolymarketRules
As opposed to being under secret service protection.
- This likely would mean he was convicted and is under house arrest, but doesn't have total freedom of movement.
Open markets
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- $701.2M
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Donald Trump die while in Secret Service custody??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 93% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Donald Trump die while in Secret Service custody? resolve?
- Will Donald Trump die while in Secret Service custody? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2035.
- How is Will Donald Trump die while in Secret Service custody? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: As opposed to being under secret service protection.