PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedUnverified resolution data: Abelardo de la Espriella
This outcome is inferred or unsupported by provider-grade settlement evidence.
Probability Timeline
Abelardo de la Espriella99%
Candidate M50%
Vicky Dávila (IND)0%
Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)0%
Claudia López (IND)0%
David Luna Sánchez (IND)0%
Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)0%
Miguel Uribe Turbay (CD)0%
Gustavo Bolívar (HC)0%
Sergio Fajardo (DC)1%
Juan Manuel Galán (NL)0%
Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)0%
Mauricio Cárdenas0%
Iván Cepeda Castro0%
Daniel Quintero0%
Roy Barreras0%
Enrique Peñalosa0%
Juan Carlos Pinzón0%
Paloma Valencia3%
Carlos Felipe Córdoba0%
Person J0%
Person K0%
Person L0%
Other0%
Candidate N0%
Candidate O0%
Candidate P0%
Candidate Q0%
Abelardo de la EspriellaAwaiting result
Candidate MAwaiting result
Vicky Dávila (IND)Awaiting result
Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)Awaiting result
Claudia López (IND)Awaiting result
David Luna Sánchez (IND)Awaiting result
Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)Awaiting result
Miguel Uribe Turbay (CD)Awaiting result
Gustavo Bolívar (HC)Awaiting result
Sergio Fajardo (DC)Awaiting result
Juan Manuel Galán (NL)Awaiting result
Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)Awaiting result
Mauricio CárdenasAwaiting result
Iván Cepeda CastroAwaiting result
Daniel QuinteroAwaiting result
Roy BarrerasAwaiting result
Enrique PeñalosaAwaiting result
Juan Carlos PinzónAwaiting result
Paloma ValenciaAwaiting result
Carlos Felipe CórdobaAwaiting result
Rules
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
- This market includes any potential second round.
- If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
