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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Politics
  3. Colombia Presidential Election
Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

1.0% (24h)One-OffPoliticsElection10d
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Abelardo de la Espriella
Abelardo de la Espriella 86%+1.0%
Leader of 28 outcomes
Market quality

89 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$110K

Liquidity

$4.3M

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

14.0% / 15.0%

Spread

7.1%

Moderate spread
7d Change

-4.0%

Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Jul 29, 25, 5:32 PMJun 21, 26, 2:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Vicky Dávila (IND)
Vicky Dávila (IND)
0%
Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)
Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)
0%
Claudia López (IND)
Claudia López (IND)
0%

Selected outcome

Abelardo de la Espriella86%

LimitlessAlso available on Limitless

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

6mo
Iván Cepeda Castro
Iván Cepeda Castro
14.5%
Abelardo de la Espriella
Abelardo de la Espriella
85.5%
Paloma Valencia
Paloma Valencia
0.1%

+4 more outcomes

28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$9.9K
24h Vol$0
LimitlessLIMITLESS

Rules

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
  • This market includes any potential second round.
  • If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
  • This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
  • If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Rules

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
  • This market includes any potential second round.
  • If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
  • This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
  • If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).