This market resolved: Nigel Farage
Resolved: Aug 14, 2026, 11:47 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Aug 14, 2026, 11:40 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Nigel Farage 100%+0.8ptLeader of 52 outcomes
Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$9.1K
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknown7d Change
-0.7 pts
Market data
Updated 17 days ago
StaleJul 7, 26, 2:58 PMAug 13, 26, 4:00 PM
Probability Timeline
Nigel Farage99%
Giles Watling1%
Jovan Owusu-Nepaul1%
Matthew Bensilum1%
Natasha Osben1%
Tony Mack1%
Andrew Pemberton1%
Count Binface2%
William Clouston50%
John Stevens50%
Pamela Walford50%
Person E50%
Person F0%
Person G0%
Person H0%
Person I0%
Person J0%
Person K0%
Person L0%
Person M0%
Person N0%
Person O0%
Person P0%
Person Q0%
Person R0%
Person S0%
Person T0%
Person U0%
Person V0%
Person W0%
Person X0%
Person Y0%
Person Z0%
Person AA0%
Person AB0%
Person AC0%
Person AD0%
Person AE0%
Person AF0%
Person AG0%
Person AH0%
Person AI0%
Person AJ0%
Person AK0%
Person AL0%
Person AM0%
Person AN0%
Person AO0%
Person AP0%
Person AQ0%
Person AR0%
Other0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Rules
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent the named outcome.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
- If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
