Current implied probability
Farage 70–80% 32%Leader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
100 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$7.6K
Liquidity
$106.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
31.9% / 32.3%
Spread
1.3%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jul 8, 26, 3:24 PMJun 30, 27, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Farage 70–80%32%
Volume trend
$7.6kJul 82d of dataJul 9
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A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
- This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).