Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Maranhão
PoliticsMonthlyElectionLatin America20d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Lula 96.9%Vig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Lula 96.9%Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$623.1
Liquidity
$21.2K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
92.0% / 97.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Oct 5, 26, 3:28 PM UTCOct 26, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Manifold MarketsRules
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 25, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from Maranhão.
- Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão.
- If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market.
- This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
- If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
