PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 39%
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$21.7K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
38.0% / 39.0%
Spread
2.6%
Tight spread7d Change
+2.0%
Market data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Jan 14, 26, 12:53 AMNov 30, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes39%
CoinRithm reference34%· 2 venues· ±5 pts
YesNo
KALSHI
Also available on Kalshi
Blue tsunami in 2026?
2.0%6mo
-2.0%34%
66%
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$247.1K
24h Vol$2.4K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- - Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$10Jul 34d of dataJul 6
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- - Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf