PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 52.5%
Yes 52.5%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$31.3K
High liquidityBid / Ask
52.0% / 53.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
2
7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jan 14, 26, 12:53 AM UTCJan 5, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- - Democrats have a seat count of 235 or more in the House - Democrats have a seat count of 51 or more in the Senate
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The Senate seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
- Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.
- The House seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 53%.
CoinRithm reference 53% · 2 venues · 0 pt venue spread