Current implied probability
<17% 38.8%+11.5ptLeader of 4 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$4.3K
Liquidity
$43.4K
High liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Aug 20, 26, 6:21 PM UTCSep 20, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
- Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party.
- Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Berlin State Election: CDU Vote Share??
- Polymarket prices <17% at 39% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Berlin State Election: CDU Vote Share? resolve?
- Berlin State Election: CDU Vote Share? is scheduled to resolve on September 20, 2026.
- How is Berlin State Election: CDU Vote Share? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.