KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
At least 18% 77.6%Leader of 8 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
19 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.7K
Low liquidityMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Aug 21, 26, 7:00 PM UTCSep 6, 27, 4:00 PM UTC
Trends
0%
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PolymarketNext minister president of Saxony-Anhalt?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by CDU in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 15% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Landeswahlleiter des Landes Sachsen-Anhalt
- The percentage is the Christian Democratic Union's share of the Landesstimme, the party list vote, calculated as votes received divided by total valid Landesstimmen cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Resolution uses certified official results, not preliminary results.
- Invalid, spoiled and rejected ballots are excluded from both the numerator and the denominator.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
- If the election is cancelled, postponed beyond expiration, every market resolves to NO.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Saxony-Anhalt state election: CDU vote percent?
- Kalshi prices At least 18% at 78% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Saxony-Anhalt state election: CDU vote percent resolve?
- Saxony-Anhalt state election: CDU vote percent is scheduled to resolve on September 6, 2027.
- How is Saxony-Anhalt state election: CDU vote percent settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by CDU in the 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election is 15% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.