Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?
2.5 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsCrime & JusticeElection6d
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Stored reference
Yes 79.2%
Yes 79.2%Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$178.6
Liquidity
$10.7K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$493.3
Bid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
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7d Change
+10.0 pts
Market data
Updated 33 minutes ago
Aug 25, 26, 11:30 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
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- Minimum order (shares):
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- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWill Arizona pass the Anti-Trans Prop 318 ballot measure in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
Arizona Proposition 317 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would declare drug cartels to be terrorist organizations, among other items.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
- This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
