Arizona passes ballot measure restricting transgender school and athletic access?
1.0 pts (24h)PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection10d
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Yes · —
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Stored reference
Yes 64%
Yes 64%Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.7
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$22.9K
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$1.2K
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YesSpread
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7d Change
+3.5 pts
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Updated 15 minutes ago
Jul 8, 26, 10:21 PM UTCNov 4, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Arizona HCR 2003 is a legislatively referred measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Arizona in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain sports leagues, locker rooms, restrooms, and other spaces based on the sex recorded on an individual's original birth certificate.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Arizona statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
- This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
