Will Trump refuse to carry out or obey any Supreme Court decisions?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsRegulationElection2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 69.6%
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40
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleMar 7, 25, 12:05 PM UTCJan 20, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
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KalshiRules
Donald Trump's relationship with the judicial system has been contentious throughout his political career.
- During his first administration (2017-2021), there were multiple instances where his administration challenged, delayed implementation of, or sought workarounds to court orders:
- In 2017, after courts blocked his travel ban, the administration issued revised versions until finding one that could withstand judicial scrutiny
- The Trump administration initially resisted a Supreme Court ruling on adding a citizenship question to the census
- In a recent case (April 2024), the Supreme Court had to order the Trump administration to unfreeze foreign assistance payments that had been withheld
- Resolution Criteria
