Will Trump pull more than 10 000 troops from Germany before the end of his term?
PoliticsGeopoliticsOne-OffUS Politics2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 61%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleMar 8, 25, 2:22 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Charlie Kirk’s murder be used as pretense for troops at polling booths in 2026, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the GOP try to pull the U.S. out of NATO by 2027?
Manifold MarketsNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia remove troops from Georgia in 2026?
FutuurWill the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026?
FutuurRules
https://babel.ua/en/news/116065-the-telegraph-trump-may-relocate-us-troops-from-germany-to-hungary
- The US President Donald Trump is weighing a decision to withdraw troops from Germany, which would further worsen relations between Washington and Europe.
- This is reported by The Telegraph, citing sources.
- This involves the withdrawal of almost 35 000 soldiers.
- There are approximately 160 000 military personnel stationed outside the United States, most of them in Germany.
Open markets
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $704M
- 24h Vol
- $804.1K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.1M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.4M
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- Next French Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Trump pull more than 10 000 troops from Germany before the end of his term??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 61% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Trump pull more than 10 000 troops from Germany before the end of his term? resolve?
- Will Trump pull more than 10 000 troops from Germany before the end of his term? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2028.
- How is Will Trump pull more than 10 000 troops from Germany before the end of his term? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: https://babel.ua/en/news/116065-the-telegraph-trump-may-relocate-us-troops-from-germany-to-hungary