Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 53%
Forecasters
37
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleNov 14, 24, 3:41 AM UTCJan 21, 29, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump pardon himself?
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FutuurRules
Resolves yes if he formally pardons himself.
- No if he doesn't.
- Update 2025-08-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If Trump formally pardons himself but the pardon is later found unconstitutional, the market will still resolve Yes.
- Resolution is based on the action of pardoning, not the legality or validity of the pardon.
