Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 91.4%
Forecasters
26
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleApr 18, 26, 1:31 AM UTCJan 21, 29, 12:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWill Trump attack Cuba by the end of his term?
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PolymarketRules
This will resolve YES if Cuba becomes an American territory, protectorate, state, or similar possession before the end of Trump’s term.
- Even if Trump doesn’t finish his term, the end date will not change and will resolve YES if Trump’s successor proceeds to make Cuba an American territory.