What changes will Trump make to the Department of Education by the end of his term? Will he kill the Department and how?
US PoliticsOne-Off2y
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Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 12:21 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Abolish the department, converting all expenditures into grants to state departments of education and removing all federal control over how the money is spent. 26.1%Leader of 7 outcomes
Abolish the department, converting all expenditures into grants to state departments of education and removing all federal control over how the money is spent. 26.1%Forecasters
7
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleDec 19, 24, 9:22 PM UTCJan 2, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Trump has promised to abolish the Department of Education.
- This could be interpreted in a few different ways and its possible he won't really change anything.
- I'm putting this up because I'm curious what the consensus view is on this.
- Hat tip and credit where credit is due: the first 5 options and the prompt are from a Substack article David Friedman wrote: https://daviddfriedman.substack.com/p/abolishing-the-dept-of-education
- I'm open to adding additional options if you think of any, just add a comment with a suggestion.
- I will close this at the end of Trump's term or after there is a change that goes into effect that decisively answers the question.
