Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari to hear the White House Ballroom case by the end of their 2026-2027 term?
PoliticsOne-OffUS Politics8mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 11:51 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 55.8%
Forecasters
14
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleMar 31, 26, 9:12 PM UTCJun 30, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
The Supreme Court's 2026-2027 term will end in June 2027.
- This market resolves YES if the Supreme Court grants certiorari to hear the White House Ballroom case (which is generally called NTHP vs Trump) before the end of the 2026-2027 term.
- Resolution will be determined by checking the Supreme Court's official docket at supremecourt.gov for a granted petition in the case.
- If no petition is granted by the end of that term, the market resolves NO.
- See also: https://manifold.markets/bens/how-will-the-white-house-ballroom-c
- and: https://manifold.markets/bens/will-congress-pass-legislation-expl?r=YmVucw
