Will the U.S. Supreme Court grant certiorari to hear the the NJ prediction market case by the end of 2026?
US PoliticsOne-OffRegulation2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 62.6%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 2, 26, 5:22 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
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- Market will resolve YES if SCOTUS grants cert to hear the case before January 1, 2027 Eastern US time.
- If SCOTUS denies cert, market resolves NO.
- In all other scenarios than SCOTUS granting cert, the market will resolve NO.
- The market creator will not trade in this market.
- Nick Devor (@nickdevor_) on X
