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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Economy
  3. Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?
Manifold Markets

Will the U.S. enter a recession in Trump's second term?

EconomyMacro & EconomyUS Politics3y
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Yes 48.3%
Forecasters

346

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 6 days ago

Stale
Mar 13, 25, 3:40 PMJan 21, 30, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes48%

Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Manifold Markets

Macro-Sensitive Assets

BitcoinBTC$65,471.69+1.40%EthereumETH$1,713.49+1.71%SolanaSOL$70.89+2.92%

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Will the national debt surpass 40 trillion during Trumps presidency?

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US recession in 2026?

$100
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Manifold Markets

Will the US national debt be above $40 trillion by the end of 2027?

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More white-collar layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

More white-collar layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

$16.9
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Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?

Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?

$4.5
Above 125,000: 42%KalshiKALSHI

Active in these topics

DogecoinDOGE$0.0884+0.71%XRPXRP$1.18+2.21%

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Rules

Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.

Manifold Markets