Will the S&P 500 close above 7883.34 on December 31, 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the S&P 500 close above 7883.34 on December 31, 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 54.3% as of October 30, 2026.

When does Will the S&P 500 close above 7883.34 on December 31, 2026? resolve?

Will the S&P 500 close above 7883.34 on December 31, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will the S&P 500 close above 7883.34 on December 31, 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: S&P 500 closes in previous years -

Use this market in code or an AI agent

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KALSHI

Recession this year?

• No97.5%
• Yes2.5%

Total Vol

$3.8M

24h Vol

$37.9K

KALSHI

CPI YoY in November

• Above 3.0%98.5%
• Above 3.1%98.5%
• Above 3.2%98.5%

KALSHI

Recession in 2027?

• No80.5%
• Yes-2.0pt19.5%

Total Vol

$790.5K

24h Vol

$20.1K

KALSHI

US real GDP growth in 2026?

• 2.1% to 2.5%+16.2pt80.3%
• 1.6% to 2.0%-8.0pt11.4%
• 2.6% to 3.0%-6.0pt

POLYMARKET

US recession by end of 2026?

• No-1.0pt93.1%
• Yes+1.0pt6.9%

Total Vol

$2.4M

24h Vol

$11.7K

KALSHI

CPI YoY in December

• Above 3.0%96.5%
• Above 3.1%-1.0pt94.5%
• Above 3.3%94.5%

• CPI in October
• Core CPI in October
• Core CPI YoY in December
• Core CPI in November
• CPI in December
• Unemployment in October
• Core CPI YoY in November
• October Unemployment Rate
• US recession by end of 2027?
• 2026: Trump's bad year?
• CPI in November
• China unemployment rate in October