Will the next change in NATO membership result in an increase in the number of members?
GeopoliticsOne-OffEuropeManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 63%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleMar 29, 25, 7:00 PM UTCJan 1, 00, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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FutuurRules
NATO currently consists of 32 members (listed alphabetically):
- North Macedonia
- United Kingdom
- United States
- This prediction market is about the next change to the list of members.
- This market will resolve as YES if the next change to the list results in an increase in the number of members (i.e., one or more countries join NATO).
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the next change in NATO membership result in an increase in the number of members??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 63% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Will the next change in NATO membership result in an increase in the number of members? resolve?
- Will the next change in NATO membership result in an increase in the number of members? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2100.
- How is Will the next change in NATO membership result in an increase in the number of members? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: NATO currently consists of 32 members (listed alphabetically):