Will Glencore's Congo deal result in a 2% increase in global copper supply by July 2026?
CommoditiesOne-Off5moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 92.8%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleFeb 17, 26, 12:02 PM UTCFeb 17, 27, 12:02 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if global copper supply increases by at least 2% by July 2026 as a direct result of Glencore's sale of its stake in DRC's copper operations.
- The authoritative data source for resolution will be the International Copper Study Group (ICSG) reports or equivalent industry publications that confirm the increase in global copper supply.
- The sale of Glencore's stake in the DRC is significant as it could shift supply dynamics, given the DRC's substantial contribution to global copper supply.
- This threshold matters as it could influence global copper prices and supply chain strategies, especially amidst geopolitical tensions and the green transition.
- Any increase in supply must be attributable to the operational changes resulting from the deal, not other unrelated factors.
- Source: Article
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Glencore's Congo deal result in a 2% increase in global copper supply by July 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 93% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Glencore's Congo deal result in a 2% increase in global copper supply by July 2026? resolve?
- Will Glencore's Congo deal result in a 2% increase in global copper supply by July 2026? is scheduled to resolve on February 17, 2027.
- How is Will Glencore's Congo deal result in a 2% increase in global copper supply by July 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if global copper supply increases by at least 2% by July 2026 as a direct result of Glencore's sale of its stake in DRC's copper operations.