Will Armenia formally apply for EU membership by December 31, 2026?
PoliticsOne-OffEsportsSpaceTechGeopoliticsMiddle EastEurope3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 54%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 6 hours ago
StaleAug 26, 26, 4:04 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 7:59 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if Armenia formally submits an application for membership in the European Union by 11:59 PM Armenia time on December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Preparations, statements of intent, or requests for a roadmap without a formal application do not count.
- Sources: Public Radio of Armenia and Euronews.
- The market closes twelve hours before the deadline.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Armenia formally apply for EU membership by December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 54% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Armenia formally apply for EU membership by December 31, 2026? resolve?
- Will Armenia formally apply for EU membership by December 31, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Armenia formally apply for EU membership by December 31, 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if Armenia formally submits an application for membership in the European Union by 11:59 PM Armenia time on December 31, 2026.