Will the MAGA ‘Moderates’ all lose reelection?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the MAGA ‘Moderates’ all lose reelection??

Manifold Markets prices No at 53.7% as of November 3, 2026.

When does Will the MAGA ‘Moderates’ all lose reelection? resolve?

Will the MAGA ‘Moderates’ all lose reelection? is scheduled to resolve on November 4, 2026.

How is Will the MAGA ‘Moderates’ all lose reelection? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if all of Brian Fitzpatrick in PA1, Mike Lawler in NY17, and Susan Collins in the Maine Senate election ALL lose their general election in 2026.

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POLYMARKET

Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)

• None+2.0pt35%
• IA+0.8pt10.3%
• IA, KS-1.0pt6.2%

+125 more outcomes

Total Vol

$62.5M

24h Vol

$29.2M

KALSHI

Who will control the House?

• Democratic Party+0.1pt94%
• Republican Party+0.1pt6.2%

Total Vol

$110.6M

24h Vol

$14M

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep+4.0pt74.5%
• D-House, R-Senate-4.0pt19.5%
• Republicans sweep

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico-1.0pt73.5%
• Ken Paxton+2.0pt26.5%

Total Vol

$82.2M

24h Vol

$12.4M

POLYMARKET

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep+5.0pt74.8%
• R Senate, D-4.0pt18.4%
• Republicans Sweep5.8%

+2 more outcomes

KALSHI

Who will control the Senate?

• Democratic Party+4.0pt77.5%
• Republican Party-3.0pt23.5%

Total Vol

$34.3M

24h Vol

$7.1M

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