Will the final president of the United States be inaugurated on January 20th, 2025?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 8:28 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 98%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleNov 12, 24, 9:29 AM UTCJan 22, 29, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?
KalshiWhich nations will the US stage military operations in before January 20th 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Tulsi Gabbard be Secretary of State before January 20th 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be physically present in the White House at 2029 January 20th 23:59 pm?
Manifold MarketsWill the US violate the sovereignty of Canada before January 20th 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be elected President of the United States in 2028?
FutuurRules
The title speaks for itself.
- This market will resolve to YES on January 21st, 2029 if there is no NO resolution by then.
- This market was created to prove a certain idiot wrong.
