Will the events leading to WWIII be directly caused by the assassination of Franz Ferdinand (the band)?
One-OffGeopoliticsPoliticsManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 97.6%
Forecasters
22
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleAug 15, 23, 11:08 PM UTCJan 2, 00, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Market resolves YES if atleast one member is assassinated
- Market resolves NO if all members of the band die outside of being assassinated
- Market will resolve N/A if WWIV is fought with sticks and stones
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the events leading to WWIII be directly caused by the assassination of Franz Ferdinand (the band)??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the events leading to WWIII be directly caused by the assassination of Franz Ferdinand (the band)? resolve?
- Will the events leading to WWIII be directly caused by the assassination of Franz Ferdinand (the band)? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2100.
- How is Will the events leading to WWIII be directly caused by the assassination of Franz Ferdinand (the band)? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Market resolves YES if atleast one member is assassinated